People who post mock drafts

[kc5950]

should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there.

[bucsrule55]

Originally Posted by kc5950 should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there.

you mean in pick explinations?

[kc5950]

Originally Posted by bucsrule55 Originally Posted by kc5950 should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there. you mean in pick explinations?

Well that definitely. But I see guys who I have seen nowhere but top 5 falling out of the top 15. Maybe Aaron Rodgers falling to Green Bay got everyone a hard-on that "miracles" can happen, but there is no way that Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch will both fall past the Texans, and barring some combine stud (like a Ronnie Brown) there is no way that either of those backs are on the board after the Packers at 16. But I read updated Mocks with Lynch in the late 1st early 2nd.

I gotta go to work, peace.

[porky88]

Originally Posted by kc5950 Originally Posted by bucsrule55 Originally Posted by kc5950 should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there. you mean in pick explinations? Well that definitely. But I see guys who I have seen nowhere but top 5 falling out of the top 15. Maybe Aaron Rodgers falling to Green Bay got everyone a hard-on that "miracles" can happen, but there is no way that Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch will both fall past the Texans, and barring some combine stud (like a Ronnie Brown) there is no way that either of those backs are on the board after the Packers at 16. But I read updated Mocks with Lynch in the late 1st early 2nd. I gotta go to work, peace.

Considering Tod McShay has Lynch at #16 right now and he's as good as a source as you can find when it comes to the draft it's not farfetched to have Lynch at #16 at all. In fact if you look at the teams picking above Green Bay not many of them need a RB. It comes down to whether or not Cleveland trades down for AP. If so then the Texans would probably have no problem taking Lynch at #8. If not though and the Browns stick with Joe Thomas or Alan Branch or even Brady Quinn like most drafts have stated thus far then it's highly like Peterson falls to #8 to the Texans.

After that with teams like the Dolphins, Steelers, Bills, 49ers, and Rams picking ahead of GB that only increases the chance that Lynch survives until then. Lynch is a great RB prospect but so was Maroney and Williams from a year ago. They fell because of the lack of a need with RB, the depth of the position, and the rise of other players. In this case I think you have a similar situation all over again with Lynch. So while there is NO chance AP falls like that right now Lynch grades out to a top 10 to 20 pick which is right around where GB picks.

[postman_44]

That is true... And remember Steven Jackson falling massivly to the Rams.

[NYJets30]

And McGahee fell to the Bills (although that was because teams were scared of his knee injury)

[cubuffsman78]

Originally Posted by porky88 Originally Posted by kc5950 Originally Posted by bucsrule55 Originally Posted by kc5950 should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there. you mean in pick explinations? Well that definitely. But I see guys who I have seen nowhere but top 5 falling out of the top 15. Maybe Aaron Rodgers falling to Green Bay got everyone a hard-on that "miracles" can happen, but there is no way that Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch will both fall past the Texans, and barring some combine stud (like a Ronnie Brown) there is no way that either of those backs are on the board after the Packers at 16. But I read updated Mocks with Lynch in the late 1st early 2nd. I gotta go to work, peace. Considering Tod McShay has Lynch at #16 right now and he's as good as a source as you can find when it comes to the draft it's not farfetched to have Lynch at #16 at all. In fact if you look at the teams picking above Green Bay not many of them need a RB. It comes down to whether or not Cleveland trades down for AP. If so then the Texans would probably have no problem taking Lynch at #8. If not though and the Browns stick with Joe Thomas or Alan Branch or even Brady Quinn like most drafts have stated thus far then it's highly like Peterson falls to #8 to the Texans. After that with teams like the Dolphins, Steelers, Bills, 49ers, and Rams picking ahead of GB that only increases the chance that Lynch survives until then. Lynch is a great RB prospect but so was Maroney and Williams from a year ago. They fell because of the lack of a need with RB, the depth of the position, and the rise of other players. In this case I think you have a similar situation all over again with Lynch. So while there is NO chance AP falls like that right now Lynch grades out to a top 10 to 20 pick which is right around where GB picks.

RBs are historically taken later in drafts. One would think that it would be one of the most heavily drafted positions every year, but it isn't. In the past 7 years, there's been an average of only 17 RBs being drafted throughout the entire 7 rounds of the draft. Simple math tells us that that is barely over two RBs a round. It puts the RB position somewhere in the middle as far as most players drafted at certain positions.

[black19]

Originally Posted by kc5950 should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there.

Who are you? Did you join just to get that off your chest???

[porky88]

Originally Posted by cubuffsman78 Originally Posted by porky88 Originally Posted by kc5950 Originally Posted by bucsrule55 Originally Posted by kc5950 should either post their location, or their favorite team along with it. There is some BS out there. you mean in pick explinations? Well that definitely. But I see guys who I have seen nowhere but top 5 falling out of the top 15. Maybe Aaron Rodgers falling to Green Bay got everyone a hard-on that "miracles" can happen, but there is no way that Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch will both fall past the Texans, and barring some combine stud (like a Ronnie Brown) there is no way that either of those backs are on the board after the Packers at 16. But I read updated Mocks with Lynch in the late 1st early 2nd. I gotta go to work, peace. Considering Tod McShay has Lynch at #16 right now and he's as good as a source as you can find when it comes to the draft it's not farfetched to have Lynch at #16 at all. In fact if you look at the teams picking above Green Bay not many of them need a RB. It comes down to whether or not Cleveland trades down for AP. If so then the Texans would probably have no problem taking Lynch at #8. If not though and the Browns stick with Joe Thomas or Alan Branch or even Brady Quinn like most drafts have stated thus far then it's highly like Peterson falls to #8 to the Texans. After that with teams like the Dolphins, Steelers, Bills, 49ers, and Rams picking ahead of GB that only increases the chance that Lynch survives until then. Lynch is a great RB prospect but so was Maroney and Williams from a year ago. They fell because of the lack of a need with RB, the depth of the position, and the rise of other players. In this case I think you have a similar situation all over again with Lynch. So while there is NO chance AP falls like that right now Lynch grades out to a top 10 to 20 pick which is right around where GB picks. RBs are historically taken later in drafts. One would think that it would be one of the most heavily drafted positions every year, but it isn't. In the past 7 years, there's been an average of only 17 RBs being drafted throughout the entire 7 rounds of the draft. Simple math tells us that that is barely over two RBs a round. It puts the RB position somewhere in the middle as far as most players drafted at certain positions.

The 2005 Draft was very rare. 3 RB's in the Top 5 I believe it was. Rarely does that happen. Ever since then I think people have been overvaluing the position a little to much. Last year Bush was #2 and then the 2nd back taken was Maroney at #21. I really see no difference this year. I think AP goes in the top 10 and Lynch goes probably mid 1st round and GB would seems to be the logical spot for him considering the need of RB just isn’t that high in the NFL right now.

[kc5950]

My point was not that Lynch won't fall to 16, but I doubt he will fall past that. At the very least I believe that there will be two backs picked by the time the Packers make their selection. Also, Jeff Samardzija going to the Pats in the first round is out of the question. The Pats dont take recievers in the first round, and I don't blame them. There is one reciever in this draft whos ability is worth the risk of paying first round money, and that is Calvin Johnson. Here is my point, and a philosophy that is becoming more common. Most recievers fail/bust, and there are several successful passing offenses who dont possess a receiver drafted in the first round in the top 3 of their depth chart, or at least not drafted by that team. Cincinatti, Seattle, New England, and New Orleans to name a few. The successful NFL model has become avoiding diva contracts early in players careers. Skill positions can, and will, be filled by successful teams in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Chad Johnson, Steve Smith, Anquan Boldin, Darrell Jackson, Deion Branch, Donald Driver, T.J. Houshmanzada (I apologize, I can pronounce it though), Laverneus Coles, Reggie Wayne, and many other upper echelon recievers have been taken outside of the 2nd round, I am not the only one to realize this.

My overall point is, when making a mock draft, take out what you hope your team will do, and think of what they will actually do.